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Coronavirus (COVID-19) fears drove equities and futures sharply lower in the week ending Feb. 28, 2020, with the Dow down 3,513 points and WTI crude down about $8.27 on average.
Cash calf and feeder prices fell $4-10 in North and South Central regions and $2-4 in the Southeast, and some producers pulled consignments from auctions.
Fear of weaker beef demand and a broad risk-off selloff pushed feeder and live cattle futures lower, and the cash-futures discount widened. Feeder buyers face lower feeder cattle costs near term, but demand uncertainty keeps volatility high.
cattlecurrent.comWLIFeb 28, 2020After 46 past bearish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.6%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 70 past bearish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.0%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Equity and futures plunge on COVID fears pushed cash calf and feeder prices lower, signaling weaker cattle complex sentiment.
