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Kentucky beef cattle prices dropped about $10 per cwt from the third week of February to the second week of March 2020, after holding firm earlier in the year. Kenny Burdine notes markets are struggling to price the impact of COVID-19, which he says has no clear precedent.
He says the sharp decline is larger than normal seasonal weakness.
Falling feeder cattle prices reduce producer incentive to retain and place cattle, which can weigh on feedlot demand for feed and feed ingredients in the near term.
m.farms.comBaseMar 25, 2020After 46 past bearish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.6%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 70 past bearish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.0%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
