
Live cattle futures were down over 12% and cash fed cattle about 7.5% since January 2020, with feeder futures down nearly 11%. Analyst Derrell Peel attributed the drop to COVID-19 fears and a sharp recent cash decline for feeder cattle.
Falling cattle values reduce feedlot demand for feed and push feedlot margins lower, weighing on feed ingredient demand.
After 70 past bearish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.0%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 46 past bearish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.6%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.