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The Feb. 18 energy outlook calls petroleum prices bearish as coronavirus weighs on demand, with the IEA projecting a first-quarter demand decline.
North American crude output is near 18 million barrels a day, and ULSD faces resistance with refinery issues limiting supply.
Expected demand weakness and abundant supply point to continued downward pressure on crude and diesel, lowering energy and freight costs for feed buyers.
fuelsmarketnews.comAlan H LevineFeb 19, 2020After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 13 past bearish disease events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -5.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.3% to +1.2%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The bearish outlook, with coronavirus demand losses and an IEA forecast of a Q1 demand decline, weighed on petroleum and distillate prices ahead of the move.
