
Oil prices fell sharply in the week to Feb. 28 as the coronavirus, renamed SARS-CoV-2, spread beyond China and raised fears of a pandemic.
WTI futures dropped about 13.5% for the week to around $46 a barrel, and major U.S. stock indices entered correction territory.
Falling crude and fuel prices and weaker global growth expectations point to lower energy input costs for feed producers, though the pullback also signals softer demand for energy-linked commodities.
After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 26 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -6.0% over 5 sessions (15% higher; middle half -13.3% to -2.0%), and -6.8% over 20.
After 13 past bearish disease events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -5.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.3% to +1.2%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI dropped about 13.5% over the week on coronavirus pandemic fears, which pulled ULSD futures down through input-cost and risk-off sentiment.
Weekly summary tying the oil drop to pandemic fears and equity correction, a risk-off backdrop.