
West Texas Intermediate crude briefly traded below $50 a barrel for the first time since January 2019, reaching $49.92. Traders reacted to the coronavirus outbreak, which led to more than 3,000 daily flight cancellations in and out of China and fears of broader economic damage.
Cancelled flights cut jet fuel demand, and fears of wider economic slowdown reduce expectations for energy consumption, pressuring crude and diesel prices. Lower energy prices also weigh on biofuel-linked feed inputs.
After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 13 past bearish disease events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -5.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.3% to +1.2%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.