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WTI crude fell 13% and Brent fell 12% on Black Friday, November 26, 2021, the largest one-day drop for WTI since April 2020. The sell-off was triggered by concerns over the Omicron Covid variant, with algorithmic and options selling amplifying the decline.
A sharp crude collapse lowers diesel, fertilizer and freight costs and may pressure biofuel-linked vegetable oil demand, while the Omicron demand scare points to weaker energy consumption ahead.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerNov 26, 2021
businesstimes.com.sgNov 28, 2021After 32 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -5.2% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -15.0% to -2.4%), and -5.7% over 20.
After 13 past disease events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.2%), and -4.6% over 20.
After 26 past bearish disease events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -6.0% over 5 sessions (15% higher; middle half -13.3% to -2.0%), and -6.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It describes the 12-13% crude crash on Nov 26 triggered by Omicron concerns and amplified by algorithmic and options selling, which pulled diesel futures down.
WTI and Brent had their largest one-day drops since 2020, amplified by algorithmic and options selling, which fed through to distillate futures.
Algorithmic and options selling amplified the Omicron-driven drop in thin holiday liquidity, deepening the decline.
Algorithmic and options selling amplified the Nov 26 Omicron-driven plunge in thin holiday liquidity.
