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China's vegetable oil consumption has dropped sharply as the COVID-19 epidemic shifted eating from restaurants to households and hit livestock production. Soybean and palm oil prices fell about 1000 yuan/ton on high port inventories, while soybean meal rose on regional shortages caused by port arrival limits.
Weaker oil demand pressures soybean oil and palm oil prices, while tight meal supply supports meal prices and feed costs for buyers in China.
en.cnagri.comMar 30, 2020After 10 past bearish disease events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -5.0% to +1.3%), and -8.5% over 20.
After 67 past bullish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 13 past disease events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.2%), and -4.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
