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Agricultural futures fell sharply early Monday as fears of lockdowns in major Chinese cities over the coronavirus outbreak raised concerns about demand for US meat and energy. Chicago soybeans fell to a six-week low, corn hit a near two-week low, and Dalian soymeal reached a seven-month low.
Expected weaker Chinese consumption and reduced feed and meat demand point to lower prices for soybeans, meal, and corn, with energy also pressured by the demand outlook.
commodityconversations.comAgriCensusJan 29, 2020After 50 past bearish disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 13 past disease events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.2%), and -4.6% over 20.
After 175 past bearish disease events, Corn moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Sharp early Monday (Jan 27) agricultural futures losses on Chinese lockdown fears, with soybeans and corn at multi-week lows, spilled over into wheat as a sentiment/demand shock.
Coronavirus lockdown fears hit agricultural and energy futures in the days before Jan 31, raising demand concerns for China and crude-linked biofuel demand, which plausibly pressured soybean oil.
