Loading…
USDA reported that US soybean export prices fell 20% over the past year and that African swine fever has cut China's pig population by about 20%. USDA expects reduced Chinese import demand to keep pressuring global soybean prices.
US export commitments to China were far below last year's level as of May 2.
Lower Chinese demand for soymeal and soybeans from ASF-driven herd losses is a sustained bearish force on soybean and meal prices, relevant to feed costs.
graincentral.comGrain CentralMay 27, 2019After 50 past bearish disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 13 past disease events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.2%), and -4.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
