The chairman of the South African feed association AFMA discussed the sector's challenges, including drought-driven high maize and soybean prices, chicken dumping, and avian influenza. He noted that good rains later produced a record maize and soybean crop, pushing grain prices lower.
Lower South African maize and soymeal prices after a record crop ease feed costs, but avian influenza losses reduce poultry feed demand in the near term.
After 175 past bearish disease events, Corn moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 50 past bearish disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.