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Analysts warn that a renewed US-China trade conflict under Trump could pressure the yuan and Chinese stocks. The article notes China has reduced its export reliance since the 2018-19 trade war, but investor sentiment toward Chinese assets is weak, raising outflow risks.
Renewed tariff tensions threaten Chinese demand for US soybeans and other farm exports, and a weaker yuan would make imports more expensive for Chinese buyers.
bloomberg.comBloomberg NewsJan 16, 2025After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
