Wheat Stays Near Lows as Focus Turns to Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

After 82 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 22, 2026Russia's promise to resume negotiations with Ukraine led to a speculative 2.5% decrease in wheat stock exchange quotes in one day.-0.7%
• Jun 23, 2026Russia has illegally shipped nearly 90,000 tons of wheat through occupied Mariupol port in 2026, Ukraine says-1.3%
• Feb 4, 2024Turkey to discuss 'new mechanism' for Ukraine Black Sea grain exports with Russia, minister says-1.3%
• May 25, 2022Russia ready to set up corridor for ships leaving Ukraine with food, with conditions | Reuters-1.3%
• Jun 6, 2022Ukraine Cautious as Turkey, Russia Push to Restart Black Sea Grain Shipments - Bloomberg+0.1%