| Name | Value | Date | Basis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corn | $4.97/bu | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Soybeans | $12.77/bu | November 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Soybean meal | $347.00/US ton | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Soybean oil | $0.6863/lb | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| SRW wheat | $6.83/bu | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| HRW wheat | $7.34/bu | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Live cattle | $221.40/cwt | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Feeder cattle | $331.07/cwt | November 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ | |
| Lean hogs | $70.08/cwt | December 2026 futures | CME Group via Yahoo Finance ↗ |
The US Department of Agriculture projects global vegetable oil exports will reach a record 141 million tonnes in 2026/27, driven by sharp gains in rapeseed and sunflower oil trade, while palm oil exports are expected to decline slightly.
ADM Investor Services analyst Mark Bowman warns that a forecast Super El Niño, expected to peak in November and persist into February, could further tighten conditions for cocoa, coffee, cotton and sugar markets, compounding existing weather-related supply pressures across West Africa, Brazil and the United States.
UK FOB London pea prices have slipped modestly week-on-week as the 2026 domestic harvest under-delivered at roughly 69% of target, while stable and low Ukrainian FCA Odesa offers continue to cap upside for feed users.
Heavy rainfall across the U.S. central and southern Plains is stalling winter wheat planting and interrupting corn and soybean harvest, while in Brazil, above-normal heat in key northern growing states is threatening early soybean planting. China's decision to cut tariffs on several U.S. agricultural commodities but leave soybeans under an additional 10% duty drove sharp losses in soybean futures on Monday.
U.S. grain futures rose in overnight trade on 30 September 2026 as markets positioned ahead of USDA's quarterly Grain Stocks report, a daily soybean export sale of 105,000 MT was reported, and the U.S. dollar index weakened. Analysts expect corn stocks to come in modestly below USDA's September WASDE figure, with attention focused on the Feed & Residual category.
Russia's Agriculture Ministry has formally proposed a 12-month moratorium on bankruptcy proceedings for grain producers after export bottlenecks caused a domestic price collapse, while EU and Black Sea physical wheat prices remained broadly flat. The Ministry of Economic Development has raised concerns about systemic financial risks, requesting evidence of exceptional circumstances before endorsing the measure.
Soybean futures edged higher on both the Chicago Board of Trade and China's Dalian Commodity Exchange on 30 September 2026, while physical premiums moved in opposite directions across origins. Ukrainian GMO-free and Chinese yellow soybeans strengthened, whereas U.S. No. 2 and conventional Ukrainian FOB values eased. Weather uncertainty in Brazil and Argentina for early October continues to underpin a mild risk premium in new-crop prices.
Persistent port congestion, container imbalances and route disruptions are keeping ocean freight costs elevated for agricultural shippers even as some trade lanes through the Red Sea and Suez Canal show signs of partial normalization, according to CMB News.
Soybean futures and products on the Chicago Board of Trade are undergoing modest profit-taking after a strong late-summer rally, with US September 1 inventories running about 3% below last year and Chinese demand continuing to underpin prices across the complex.
Sunflower oil prices fell for a third consecutive month in September 2026, according to FAO data, as ample Black Sea supply weighs on the market. However, damaged Ukrainian port infrastructure, elevated maritime risk premia, and constrained Russian export routes are cushioning the downturn and keeping volatility high.
Wheat prices in the Rhine region are moving largely sideways heading into Q4 2026 and early 2027, with bread wheat quoted at 240 EUR/t for October–December and only a modest 4–5 EUR/t carry into Q1 2027. Corn and rapeseed are sending stronger price signals, with EU corn commanding a clear premium over feed wheat and rapeseed posting the steepest forward curve in the complex, drawing feed-sector attention away from wheat.
The Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board's final assessment of the UK's 2026 cereal harvest shows winter wheat averaging 6.9 t/ha — about 11% below the five-year average — while spring barley and oats also fell well short of benchmarks. Oilseed rape was the sole standout crop, yielding roughly 19% above its five-year average. AHDB warns that some arable farmers are now facing a second or third successive difficult harvest.
