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The USDA's Ho Chi Minh City post raised its 2026/27 wheat import forecast for Vietnam to 6.3 million tonnes. Feed millers are favouring cheaper wheat over corn, which is being diverted to ethanol.
Higher Vietnamese wheat imports add demand for wheat in feed rations while corn supply tightens for ethanol, supporting wheat and weighing relatively on corn for feed buyers.
After 772 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.