
Agricultural commodity prices fell on Friday after the U.K. voted to leave the European Union, mainly due to a stronger dollar against sterling and the euro. Chicago soft red winter wheat fell 1.7 percent and Kansas City hard red winter wheat fell 1.9 percent.
London wheat rose 3.7 percent as sterling hit a 30-year low, and corn and soybeans also traded lower.
The stronger dollar makes U.S. grain and oilseed exports more expensive for importers, pushing down futures prices. The sterling slump lifts London wheat prices, which shows currency effects vary by market.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 13 past bearish macro events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.1%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.