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The Bloomberg Commodity Index was heading for its fifth straight monthly decline and its lowest monthly close since January 2022. Losses were broad across energy, grains and industrial metals in April, while softs and precious metals rose.
Analysts attributed the weakness to global economic concerns and a less commodity-intensive Chinese recovery.
Weak Chinese commodity demand and global growth concerns reduce demand for feed inputs and energy. This macro backdrop supports bearish pressure across the grain complex.
home.saxoOle HansenApr 21, 2023After 301 past bearish macro events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 69 past bearish macro events, WHEAT moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, SOY moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
