
Malaysian palm oil futures fell 0.97% in early trade on Thursday to 4,473 ringgit per ton, snapping a four-session rally. Rival soyoil and crude oil also dropped after Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on trading partners.
Broad US tariffs raise global trade-war risk and weigh on crude, which lowers biodiesel demand support for palm and soyoil prices.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm fell on April 3 with soyoil and crude after the US reciprocal tariff announcement, snapping a four-session rally and starting the sell-off.