
Oil futures settled sharply lower as Brent fell below $40 a barrel for the first time since June and US crude dropped nearly 8%. The decline followed Saudi Arabia's cut to its October selling prices and rising COVID-19 cases in several countries.
Labor Day weekend also marked the end of the US summer driving season.
Lower Saudi Asian pricing and weaker demand signals reduce crude's cost outlook and pressure energy-linked feed inputs such as diesel and freight. Softer crude generally weighs on biofuel economics and feedstock values.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of the sharp selloff driven by Saudi October price cuts, COVID flare-ups and the end of the driving season, which is a demand-sentiment mechanism.