Malaysian palm oil futures slipped for four straight days to close at RM2,390 on Friday, down RM26 on the week. AmSpec and SGS both reported April 1 to 25 palm product exports lower than in the same period of March.
Weaker export data and falling trading activity reinforce the bearish trend in palm oil, pointing to lower prices for vegetable oil and palm-based feed ingredients.
After 158 past bearish trade events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, SBO moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Four straight days of losses and lower April 1-25 exports from AmSpec and SGS had already built bearish sentiment before the May 1 drop.
Prior-week slide and weak April 1-25 export data set a bearish backdrop and momentum going into the April 30 sell-off.