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Steep falls in Chinese edible oil prices have pushed soybean crush margins at Shandong plants deep into negative territory. Soybean oil futures on the Dalian exchange have dropped 15% since end-January, following a glut from higher vegetable oil imports and state rapeseed oil auctions.
Negative crush margins give processors reason to cut soybean purchases and palm oil imports, which weighs on palm oil and soyoil prices. Lower China crush also reduces soymeal output, a factor for feed buyers to watch.
theborneopost.comJustApr 12, 2017After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
