Loading…
The yuan rose to its strongest level against the dollar since January 3 after a friendly call between Trump and Xi and better-than-expected fourth-quarter GDP data. The PBOC set its midpoint at 7.1886 per dollar, much firmer than Reuters estimates.
Easing US-China tension reduces near-term risk of tariff retaliation against US feed grains, a modestly supportive factor for soybean and corn demand expectations.
brecorder.comReutersJan 20, 2025After 10 past bearish geopolitics events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A friendly Trump-Xi call, stronger Q4 GDP and a firm PBOC midpoint lifted the yuan to a two-week high on Jan 20, which fits a sharp one-day fall in CNY per USD ending Jan 21.
A friendly Trump-Xi call, strong GDP data and a firm PBOC midpoint lifted the yuan to a two-week high, which accounts for the decline in CNY per USD during the week.
