China’s soybean oil exports could reach a record 1.35 mln tons

After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Nov 25, 2025China exported a record amount of soybean oil in October+4.6%
• Dec 2, 2025China’s soyabean oil exports to India surge due to weak demand…-2.3%
• Jun 28, 2019US-China trade tensions hurt Argentine soybean exports - Chinadaily.com.cn-1.3%
• Jan 13, 2026Argentina soybean exports forecast to rise | World Grain+2.9%
• Sep 13, 2017Soybeans supported by new export sale to China - Brownfield Ag News-0.9%

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2018Soy source: Brazil's share of soybean exports to China hits record+0.4%
• Nov 12, 2025China's soybean glut could defeat US export hopes after trade thaw | Reuters+3.6%
• Apr 14, 2026China March soybean imports rise 15% y/y, lag expectations amid Brazil checks - Markets - Business Recorder+0.3%
• Dec 19, 2016Soybean exports could come to screeching halt - Brownfield Ag News-4.6%
• Jan 30, 2026China Turns to South America for Soybeans as U.S. Corn, Sorghum Exports Gain Momentum - RFD+3.7%

After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.

• Nov 25, 2025China exported a record amount of soybean oil in October+1.8%
• Dec 2, 2025China’s soyabean oil exports to India surge due to weak demand…+0.8%
• Sep 22, 2022Malaysia’s palm oil stocks could hit 3-1/2-year high as Indonesia boosts exports - Markets - Business Recorder-3.8%
• Oct 16, 2025China’s act on US soybean may pressure crude palm oil’s competitiveness — RHB Research-0.5%
• Apr 1, 2020Indonesian palm oil exports to China drop by half in January: GAPKI-3.5%