Russian attack shuts down Astarta’s soybean plant, tightening soybean supplies in the Black Sea

After 34 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.5%), and +1.2% over 20.

• Mar 4, 2022How strength in soybean prices is linked to the Black Sea conflict+8.6%
• Mar 4, 2022The price of soybean meal increased in Russia+8.6%
• Mar 1, 2022The sunflower sector shaken by the Russian intervention in Ukraine – Archyde+3.1%
• Jul 27, 2023Black Sea deal collapse puts poultry ration costs back on the rise - Poultry Network-2.2%
• Sep 25, 2026What’s Behind the Latest Surge in Grain and Oilseed Prices?-5.3%

After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Jul 27, 2026Black Sea grain trapped as Russia, Ukraine attacks continue | World Grain-5.7%
• Oct 31, 2022U.N. Black Sea grain pact under threat as Russia quits | Reuters+3.1%
• Jan 22, 2026Oil plants in Ukraine are shutting down – AgroNews+2.7%
• Jun 28, 2022The Battle for the Black Sea | Russia-Ukraine war | Al Jazeera-6.8%
• Jul 17, 2023Black Sea grain deal: What's next now that Russia has pulled out?+0.1%