
Weak demand for soybean meal and oil, with buyers well stocked and expectations for a large 2027 crop, has pressured derivative prices and reduced processors’ crushing margins. Dry spells and irregular rainfall in Brazil are limiting declines in soybean prices, while cheaper meal offers some relief to poultry and swine producers facing higher corn costs.
Brazilian weather uncertainty could support soybean prices by raising concern about the upcoming crop. Weak demand and lower crushing margins weigh on soybean meal and oil prices, although lower meal prices can ease feed costs.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.