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Heavy rains in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil's second-largest soybean state, raised quality concerns. Rumors of a possible strike in Argentina, the major soymeal exporter, boosted demand for Brazilian meal, lifting domestic and export premiums.
Cepea soybean indices rose about 4% in April to the highest levels of the year.
Argentine strike risk and Brazilian quality concerns shift demand toward Brazilian soymeal, supporting meal prices and export premiums for feed buyers.
eitagota.com.brEita Gota maio 6, 2024May 6, 2024After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Heavy Rio Grande do Sul rains and Argentine strike rumors boosted demand for Brazilian meal and premiums, a direct supply-risk driver on the date of the move.
Dated May 6, it cites heavy Rio Grande do Sul rains and rumors of an Argentine strike, which lifted demand and premiums for Brazilian meal; this is a direct supply and trade-flow driver of the 1-day soymeal jump.
Rio Grande do Sul rains and the Argentine strike rumors raised demand for Brazilian meal and premiums, supporting meal prices.
