
Drought in North and South Dakota, which together grow about 7.5% of US corn and 10% of US soybeans, could cut national output. Most of North Dakota and 78% of South Dakota were in drought as planting began.
A poor crop in these states could lower US corn and soybean supplies below expectations, supporting feed grain and soymeal prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.