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Rain fell in Argentina and southern Brazil over the weekend, with more expected for 10 days, easing drought concerns for soybeans. Soybean futures fell 2.9% after the January USDA report, while soybean oil gained 11.5% for the month.
Improved South American rainfall reduces the crop-loss premium in soybean and meal prices, while soybean oil strength keeps vegetable oil prices supported.
ukragroconsult.comJan 19, 2022After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rain in Argentina and southern Brazil with more forecast for 10 days eased drought concerns and pushed soybean futures down 2.9%.
