
APK-Inform forecasts Ukraine's MY2018/19 sunflower oil output at 6.4 million tons, up 12%, with exports of 5.9 million tons. Sunflower meal output is projected at 5.7 million tons (+9%) and exports at 4.7 million tons (+12%).
A larger Ukrainian crop and export surplus of sunflower oil and meal adds supply to world vegetable oil and meal markets, which the analyst expects to pressure prices lower.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.