Morning Ag Clips reports Brazil's soybean planting was about 96% complete, with a record-fast start and early harvest possible before Christmas. Projected production is around 120 million tons, a record, though recent dryness in central and southern Brazil is raising concerns for later-planted fields.
A record Brazilian crop projection keeps export supply ample and pressures soybean and meal prices, while dry spells add some upside risk.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.