Crops Analysis | Wheat falls ahead of U.S. mediated peace talks

After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Mar 29, 2022Wheat: Prices fall on peace talks, low demand | Latest Market News-9.0%
• Oct 29, 2026CBOT wheat falls to 3½-month low on peace hopes | Adalytica-0.4%
• Mar 17, 2022U.S. grains: May wheats limit-down as peace talks progress - Manitoba Co-operator+15.8%
• Jul 27, 2026Soybeans and corn fall more than 2% as oil drops, wheat also down | ZAWYA-2.4%
• Jul 14, 2022Wheat, soybeans fall on expectations of progress in Ukraine shipping talks - Supply Chain Council of European Union | Scceu.org+8.4%

After 31 past neutral geopolitics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Jul 14, 2022Wheat, soybeans fall on expectations of progress in Ukraine shipping talks - Supply Chain Council of European Union | Scceu.org-12.5%
• Oct 1, 2026US Harvest Progress Caps Corn Gains as Black Sea Talks Pressure Wheat-1.2%
• Feb 14, 2025Wheat, the Dog of the Grain Complex, Rallies to New Highs for the Move - AgWeb+1.4%
• Oct 26, 2023U.S. grains: Wheat up off two-week low on Ukraine export uncertainty - AgCanada-3.5%
• Oct 5, 2026Farmers Face A Fertilizer Market Full of Wild Cards - AgWeb-3.5%