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CBOT futures fell sharply on Sunday night and early Monday after President Trump tweeted that tariffs on Chinese goods would be raised and expanded from Friday. Most markets recovered some losses by the close, and Lean Hogs did not.
Corn, soybeans, wheat, meal, oil and cattle all closed lower, and planting progress was well behind normal.
The threat of higher US tariffs on Chinese imports cuts export demand expectations for US grains and soybean products, pushing futures lower. Delayed planting adds some support for later prices.
kyfb.comMay 6, 2019After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump's tariff tweet on Chinese goods hit CBOT futures sharply on May 6, with wheat closing lower, which is a trade-policy sentiment shock on the day of the move.
