The IGC reported its soybean price index fell 2% in November, with Chicago nearby futures down 3% on the month. Gulf, Paranagua and Up River export prices all eased, while soybean oil was supported by tight palm oil supplies and EU rapeseed import needs.
Continued U.S.-China trade uncertainty is weighing on soybean and meal values, while firm vegetable oil demand supports oil prices and supports meal-oil crush economics.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.