
US and Canadian oilseed harvests have weighed on world prices, with China halting US soybean purchases and its imports of Canadian rapeseed amid trade disputes. Ukraine's new 10% export tax on rapeseed and soybeans has slowed shipments.
The IGC reported global export prices marginally firmer on US and Brazilian gains.
Halted Chinese demand and Ukraine's export tax reduce global oilseed export flows, keeping oilseed and meal prices under pressure for feed buyers.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.