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China's tariffs on US soybeans have pressured the world oilseed market, and USDA's Economic Research Service reported that soybean prices fell to a nine-year low in June and July. Strong US domestic crush margins are boosting soybean meal exports, while the EPA's proposed higher renewable fuel blending requirement supports soybean oil demand.
Lower US soybean prices and strong meal export demand from Argentina's shortfall support soybean meal, while soybean oil gains from biodiesel demand, and the trade dispute continues to weigh on soybeans.
world-grain.comChris LyddonSep 19, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
