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After a late-May rally tied to a US-China trade cease-fire, new-crop corn and soybean futures fell to contract or multi-year lows once trade tensions resumed. The US announced a 25% tariff on $50 billion of Chinese goods and planned to target another $200 billion, and China responded with a tariff list covering 90% of US farm exports to China.
Retaliatory tariffs on US agricultural exports cut expected demand for soybeans and corn, which pushed futures lower.
fb.orgJohn Newton, Ph.D.Jun 20, 2018After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
