Loading…
Grain and livestock futures closed lower on August 1, 2019 after President Trump announced a 10% tariff on $300 billion of Chinese goods effective September 1. US equities swung from up 1% to down 1%, and crude oil fell about $4 per barrel.
Lean hogs closed sharply lower after limit-down losses the prior day.
New tariffs threaten US feed grain and pork export demand and weigh on sentiment across the complex. Lower crude also cuts ethanol margins, which pressures corn.
kyfb.comAug 1, 2019After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Grain futures fell on Aug 1 after the tariff announcement, adding to bearish trade sentiment ahead of the Aug 5 drop, though the timing is earlier than the move.
