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Euronext wheat rose in step with Chicago as US crop planting risks weighed on the market. CBOT corn and soybeans fell after the USDA unveiled a $16 billion farm aid package, with wheat dropping on spillover from corn.
Copper also hit its lowest since January as the US-China trade dispute escalated.
The aid package is seen encouraging plantings, adding soybean supply that weighs on feed meal and bean prices, while escalating US-China tensions dampen export demand expectations.
brecorder.comMay 23, 2019brecorder.comMay 24, 2019After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On May 23 the USDA $16B aid package pressured corn and soybeans, and wheat fell on spillover, so it plausibly contributed to the selling, but it only partly explains a very large drop.
