
Chicago wheat rose on dry conditions in big exporting nations and concerns about Russian shipments, though it was still set for a weekly loss. Corn and soybeans gained slightly but were on track for weekly declines as US harvest advanced and Brazil planting improved.
Russia has raised export duties and reportedly enforced a minimum price.
Russian export duties and minimum pricing reduce Black Sea supply and support wheat values, while harvest pressure keeps corn and soy capped.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.