
Ukraine's grain exports fell by a third to 2.33 million tonnes in July, the first month of the 2020/21 marketing season. The shipments included 1.19 million tonnes of wheat, 424,000 tonnes of corn and 714,000 tonnes of barley.
The government has not forecast 2020/21 exports, and output may fall on poor weather.
Smaller Ukrainian export flows reduce global wheat and corn availability, supporting feed grain prices.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.