
Ukraine's grain exports for the 2020/21 season through early January totaled 26.41 million tonnes, down from 31.49 million a year earlier. Traders sold 12.51 million tonnes of wheat, 9.73 million tonnes of corn and 3.78 million tonnes of barley.
The government expects 2020/21 exports to fall to 44.18 million tonnes after a smaller 2020 harvest of about 64.5 million tonnes.
A smaller Ukrainian crop and lower export pace reduce Black Sea corn and barley supply, supporting prices for feed grains.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.