
China is buying US soft white wheat for animal feed, pushing USDA's export forecast for the class to 245 million bushels, the highest since 1994. USDA cut its export forecast for hard red winter wheat due to weaker demand in several Western Hemisphere markets.
High corn prices have made wheat a viable feed alternative in China.
Chinese feed demand for wheat supports US white wheat prices and competes with corn and other feed grains. Lower HRW export forecasts add modest pressure on hard red wheat values.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.