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UK feed wheat futures eased after five days of gains, and Chicago and Paris wheat fell 3.5% and 1.2% on weaker-than-expected Chinese purchases. China bought only 120 kt of US wheat for December delivery, its first purchase since October last year.
Argentina's wheat crop is forecast at 22.0 Mt for 2025/26, up from 18.6 Mt, and Paris rapeseed and Chicago soybeans also declined.
A larger Argentine crop and weak Chinese demand add supply pressure to global wheat, while soft soybean futures weigh on the oilseed complex including rapeseed.
ahdb.org.ukNov 7, 2025After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Chicago wheat fell 3.5% after China bought only 120 kt of US wheat, far below the rumored 240-400kt, so the demand disappointment hit prices directly.
