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Integer Research says the cost gap between the highest and lowest cost nitrogen producers has narrowed by as much as $70 per tonne over the past year. The research links nitrogen production costs mainly to natural gas and coal feedstock prices.
Narrower cost curves signal that energy prices now drive nitrogen producer economics more directly, which could tighten supply responses to gas price moves. This is analytical commentary with no immediate price shock.
prnewswire.comInteger ResearchNov 18, 2016After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
After 10 past neutral macro events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.5%), and -3.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
