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CoBank's Ken Zuckerberg says substantial declines in anhydrous, phosphate and potash prices this winter make current levels attractive for farmers who have not yet bought. He warns that continued Black Sea conflict could cause further energy-driven fertilizer price shocks.
Current low nutrient prices lower feed grain production costs, but the warning of renewed energy-driven spikes adds upside risk for later purchases.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampFeb 16, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 10 past neutral macro events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.5%), and -3.9% over 20.
After 45 past macro events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.1%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
