Loading…
St. Louis Fed analysis recaps how Russia's invasion of Ukraine and sanctions drove fertilizer prices to record highs in spring 2022. Bloomberg's North America Fertilizer Price Index hit an all-time high of 1,270.4 on March 25, 2022.
Pre-invasion tightness from COVID-19 disruptions had already raised prices.
The article explains past price shocks rather than new supply events, so it offers limited near-term price signal. It reinforces the structural fertilizer cost risk feed producers face.
stlouisfed.orgApr 4, 2023After 10 past neutral macro events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.5%), and -3.9% over 20.
After 45 past macro events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.1%), and -0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
