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CRU Group published an insight on how the Covid-19 pandemic is affecting fertilizer markets, noting that most governments have classified fertilizers as essential goods. It says the sector faces conflicting drivers including foreign exchange swings, macroeconomic uncertainty and reduced biofuel demand.
Fertilizer costs feed into grain and oilseed production economics, so uncertainty about input supply and demand can shift future crop input prices and farm margins for feed buyers.
crugroup.comAuthor Laura Cross Fertilizers Nitrogen PhosphatesApr 16, 2020After 10 past neutral macro events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.5%), and -3.9% over 20.
After 45 past macro events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.1%), and -0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
