
The Canadian dollar gained modestly on August 30, 2021, as Statistics Canada reported July producer prices up 15.4% year over year but down 0.4% month over month. The second-quarter current account surplus came in at C$3.58 billion, above forecasts.
October WTI fell 0.65% to $68.29 a barrel after Hurricane Ida shut U.S. Gulf production.
Hurricane-related energy disruption and a stronger current account support the loonie, while crude price swings feed through to Canadian export revenues. Feed buyers see little direct grain price effect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.