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Rystad Energy expects around 14.7 million tonnes of additional LNG supply in 2025, mainly from North America and Africa, which should lower prices later in the year. TTF prices remain above $15/MMBtu as Europe depletes storage rapidly, and US tariffs on Chinese goods and retaliatory duties on US LNG add uncertainty.
Elevated European gas prices and tight storage keep energy costs high for nitrogen fertilizer producers, while new supply later in the year could ease prices and trade frictions could shift LNG flows.
airfreight.newsFeb 19, 2025After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
After 10 past neutral macro events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.5%), and -3.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
