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USDA's December report left U.S. corn, soybean and wheat supply projections largely unchanged, which disappointed soybean traders who expected a small cut in ending stocks. Soybean and corn futures slipped after the release, while winter wheat barely moved.
Traders had priced in a tighter soybean balance sheet, so the unchanged figure removes a bullish expectation and puts pressure on soybean and corn prices.
farmprogress.comBob BurgdorferDec 9, 2016After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
